My bet on the Republican presidential nominee

I haven’t been commenting on, or frankly, even paying much attention to the nomination process for the Republican presidential candidate. This is mainly because despite the fact that the media and blogosphere seem to have this very schizophrenic view of the race — it’s Trump! No, it’s Gingrich! No, it’s Bachman! No, it’s Perry! No, it’s Cain! — it’s been pretty obvious to me from day one that Romney will be the candidate. If you look at the last 30 years of Republican nominations, the essentially centrist, electable guy is the guy that gets the nomination. I don’t see much gained by wasting time reading about candidates who don’t really have a shot.

If I had to bet money on a Obama/Romney face-off, I’d give it to Obama right now, but Romney could be pretty formidable. And I suspect the left-wing media and blogs’ fetish for focusing on everyone but Romney could work against them. Centrists and independents will say, “well, nobody was freaking out about this guy, so he can’t be that bad.”

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